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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
0 - 0
Hearts


Mayo (36'), Wright (44'), Donnelly (61'), Findlay (89')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hearts

The sides boast similar defensive records heading into this one, but Hearts just about have the upper hand offensively. Nonetheless, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
45.43% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 25.56%29.02% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)50.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (0.004999999999999 0)72.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.13% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (0.012 0.01)31.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)67.99% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 45.42%
    Hearts 29.02%
    Draw 25.56%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.42%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock
31.3%
Draw
18.8%
Hearts
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
1-1
Kilmarnock
Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
Aug 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Kilmarnock
Shankland (30'), Devlin (40'), Atkinson (55')
Armstrong (67'), Lyons (85'), McKenzie (90+3'), Donnelly (90+5')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hearts
Armstrong (22' pen.), Doidge (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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