MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 21:44:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Celtic logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock logo

Hearts
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 3-1 Kilmarnock

With Shankland raring to get back to scoring ways following his two-game drought on international duty, we are expecting lots of goals for Hearts on Saturday. Kilmarnock have been impressive in recent matches, but we reckon that the hosts' quality will shine through at Tynecastle in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
49.14% (0.222 0.22) 23.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 27.25% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.42% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02% (0.085000000000001 0.09)42.98% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62% (0.085000000000001 0.09)65.38% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.119 0.12)17.63% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.206 0.21)48.23% (-0.207 -0.21)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)29.08% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (-0.104 -0.1)65% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.14%
    Kilmarnock 27.25%
    Draw 23.62%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Hearts vs Kilmarnock

Hearts
72.0%
Draw
12.0%
Kilmarnock
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
Aug 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Kilmarnock
Shankland (30'), Devlin (40'), Atkinson (55')
Armstrong (67'), Lyons (85'), McKenzie (90+3'), Donnelly (90+5')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hearts
Armstrong (22' pen.), Doidge (45')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hearts
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ginnelly (19'), Shankland (29', 89' pen.)
Taylor (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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