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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Rangers logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Rangers

Armstrong (11' pen.)
Mayo (54'), Findlay (81'), Watson (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tavernier (55'), Lawrence (59')
Barisic (34'), Goldson (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 5-0 Hearts
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 0-2 Rangers

Although Rangers made light work of Hearts at the weekend, we do not expect the same to materialise here. Nevertheless, such is Rangers' momentum that we still back them to get the job done, albeit with a more hard-working performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRangers
17.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 60.29% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)49.8% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)71.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (-0.012 -0.01)16.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)45.52% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 17.19%
    Rangers 60.29%
    Draw 22.51%
KilmarnockDrawRangers
1-0 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 4.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.31%
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 17.19%
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 60.29%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Rangers

Kilmarnock
18.0%
Draw
4.9%
Rangers
77.0%
61
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rangers
3-1
Kilmarnock
McCausland (41'), Sima (45'), Cantwell (61')
Cantwell (15')
Armstrong (59' pen.)
McKenzie (30'), Watson (41'), Wright (63')
Aug 5, 2023 5.15pm
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Rangers
3-1
Kilmarnock
Goldson (6'), Sakala (25'), Tavernier (45' pen.)
Dorsett (60')
Jan 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Kilmarnock
2-3
Rangers
Stokes (6'), Wright (85')
Morelos (23', 72'), Kent (51')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Rangers
2-0
Kilmarnock
Colak (51'), Morelos (88')

Taylor (14'), Donnelly (38'), McKenzie (49'), Armstrong (82'), Murray (85'), Cameron (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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