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Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Ibrox Stadium
Ayr United

Rangers
2 - 0
Ayr

Barisic (10'), Silva (76')
Silva (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Syla (32'), McKenzie (34'), McGinty (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Rangers and Ayr United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Aberdeen
Tuesday, February 6 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Rangers 3-0 Ayr United

It is difficult to make much of a case for Ayr United in this match as they head to take on arguably the most in-form side in the top flight at the moment. Therefore, we will keep it short and sweet - we fancy Rangers to cruise to an easy victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 79.29%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 7.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-2 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rangers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rangers.

Result
RangersDrawAyr United
79.29% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26) 13.04% (0.149 0.15) 7.67% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.13% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.74% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)30.26% (0.345 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.5% (-0.408 -0.41)51.5% (0.413 0.41)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.01% (-0.113 -0.11)5.98% (0.1169 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.16% (-0.327 -0.33)22.84% (0.331 0.33)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)45.61% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.58% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)81.42% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rangers 79.27%
    Ayr United 7.67%
    Draw 13.04%
RangersDrawAyr United
2-0 @ 10.82% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 7.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.61% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 4.03% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 3.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.89% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.48% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 79.27%
1-1 @ 6.03% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 13.04%
1-2 @ 2.37% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.14% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 7.67%

How you voted: Rangers vs Ayr

Rangers
86.7%
Draw
3.3%
Ayr United
10.0%
30
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2018 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Rangers
4-0
Ayr
Katic (16'), Middleton (31', 70'), Morelos (49')
Morelos (37'), Grezda (73')
Feb 11, 2018 2.30pm
Fifth Round
Ayr
1-6
Rangers
Forrest (11')
Adams (35'), Moore (64'), Geggan (83')
Morelos (31', 72'), Cummings (66'), Windass (69', 81'), Murphy (88')
Windass (83')
Aug 19, 2015 7.45pm
Second Round
Ayr
0-2
Rangers
Apr 22, 2014 7.45pm
Rangers
2-1
Ayr
Mohsni (54', 82')
Forrest (69')
Donald (60'), Malcolm (83')
Feb 15, 2014 3pm
Ayr
0-2
Rangers

Malcolm (22'), Gilmour (49'), Lithgow (66'), McGowan (76'), Hunter (90')
Law (46'), Daly (59')
rhs 2.0
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