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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
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Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Hearts logo

St Mirren
1 - 2
Hearts

Olusanya (68')
Tanser (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grant (33' pen.), Mandron (62' og.)
Tait (45+3'), Sibbick (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts

With each team boasting a victory over the other already this season, either could realistically walk away with three points this weekend. However, the fact both are out of form could lead to them sharing the points as they try to get things back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
31.44% (-0.861 -0.86) 25.68% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 42.88% (0.929 0.93)
Both teams to score 54.14% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)49.78% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.574 -0.57)29.6% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.707 -0.71)65.63% (0.709 0.71)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (0.45100000000001 0.45)23.1% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (0.656 0.66)56.94% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 31.44%
    Hearts 42.87%
    Draw 25.67%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.44%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.194 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.87%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
7.4%
Draw
14.8%
Hearts
77.8%
27
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Shankland (33', 49')
Atkinson (66'), Halkett (78')

Gogic (2'), Tanser (22'), Boyd-Munce (76')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
St Mirren
1-0
Hearts
Strain (7')
Baccus (24'), Olusanya (25')

Rowles (24')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (36'), Strain (45+4')
Taylor (23'), Kiltie (29')
Ginnelly (73'), Shankland (90+6' pen.)
Rowles (17'), Naismith (18'), Devlin (44'), Atkinson (65'), Kiomourtzoglou (80')
Haring (77')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
0-2
St Mirren
Main (52'), Gogic (57')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hearts
1-0
St Mirren
McKay (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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