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St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Hearts logo

St Mirren
2 - 2
Hearts

Shaughnessy (36'), Strain (45+4')
Taylor (23'), Kiltie (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ginnelly (73'), Shankland (90+6' pen.)
Rowles (17'), Naismith (18'), Devlin (44'), Atkinson (65'), Kiomourtzoglou (80')
Haring (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 St Mirren
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-2 Celtic
Sunday, May 7 at 2.15pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts

With each club losing in different circumstances last time out, it remains to be seen how they will react. A low-scoring draw does not necessarily suit either team, but, for us, it is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
36.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 37.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)63.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)62.7% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 36.45%
    Hearts 37.07%
    Draw 26.47%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 37.07%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Hearts
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
gameweek 31
Hearts
0-2
St Mirren

Snodgrass (7'), Smith (50'), Rowles (86')
Snodgrass (62')
Main (52'), Gogic (57')
Tanser (67'), Dunne (68'), Gogic (84')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Hearts
1-0
St Mirren
McKay (29')
Smith (24'), Snodgrass (58')

Baccus (23'), Main (45'), Gallagher (54'), Reid (80')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
gameweek 21
St Mirren
1-1
Hearts
Strain (4')
Baccus (41'), O'Hara (56')
Fraser (90+5')
Snodgrass (49')
McKay (45+2'), Snodgrass (86')
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
4-2
St Mirren
Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 28
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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