Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
50.88% | 24.29% ( 0.03) | 24.82% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.88% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.08% ( -0.18) | 47.91% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.9% ( -0.16) | 70.09% ( 0.16) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( -0.07) | 18.84% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.71% ( -0.11) | 50.29% ( 0.11) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( -0.12) | 33.61% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.74% ( -0.14) | 70.25% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.88% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |