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Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Gillette Stadium
Toronto FC

New England
0 - 1
Toronto

FT(HT: 0-1)
Insigne (27')
Bernardeschi (73'), Gomis (82'), Johnson (87'), Akinola (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-1 Toronto

Recent history suggests the Revs should win comfortably, but Toronto should gain a lot of confidence from their opening match, and they should have chances to score against a Revs defensive line who have not been much better than them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
67.98% (-0.211 -0.21) 18.62% (0.114 0.11) 13.4% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.312 -0.31)40.23% (0.31 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.322 -0.32)62.6% (0.32 0.32)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.15% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)10.85% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.05% (-0.313 -0.31)34.94% (0.311 0.31)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)41.75% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)78.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 67.98%
    Toronto 13.4%
    Draw 18.62%
New England RevolutionDrawToronto
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 67.98%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.4%

How you voted: New England vs Toronto

New England Revolution
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Toronto
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
New England
Bernardeschi (31' pen.), Criscito (75')
Akinola (35'), Laryea (78')
McNamara (37'), Rennicks (48')
Makoun (29')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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