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Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Bou (25' pen., 42')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-2 Philadelphia Union

New England have struggled massively with keeping the ball out of their net in recent matches, and it is hard to see Peay's men changing their ways against a Philadelphia side who arrive at Gillette Stadium in good form. The Union's goalless draw with Nashville was labelled 'boring' by some supporters, however a Decision Day meeting with the Revs should provide some considerable attacking entertainment.

How to watch

You can watch New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.63% (-0.126 -0.13) 23.89% (-0.023 -0.02) 32.48% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 60.76% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (0.161 0.16)41.32% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (0.161 0.16)63.72% (-0.163 -0.16)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)19.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)50.88% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.164 0.16)24.79% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (0.232 0.23)59.37% (-0.236 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 43.63%
    Philadelphia Union 32.48%
    Draw 23.88%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 43.63%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.48%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Philadelphia Union
33.3%
6
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
Bou (61')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Philadelphia
0-1
New England
Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 24
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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