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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Atlanta United

Philadelphia
3 - 2
Atlanta

Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Atlanta United

 Philadelphia Union have drawn their last five MLS games, and the spoils have been shared in each of Atlanta United's last two away matches. Given that the two sides are separated by just two points in the table, they are clearly evenly-matched, and we expect a draw this Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
55.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 21.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.017000000000003 0.02)43.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)44.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.96%
    Atlanta United 21.49%
    Draw 22.55%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Philadelphia Union
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atlanta United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Philadelphia
1-0
Atlanta
Przybylko (71')
Andres Martinez (39')

Moreno (31')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010
> Full Version


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