Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Charlotte FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
32.47% ( -0.33) | 24.79% ( 0.09) | 42.74% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.56% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.48% ( -0.49) | 45.52% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.15% ( -0.47) | 67.85% ( 0.48) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% ( -0.44) | 26.83% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% ( -0.59) | 62.13% ( 0.59) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( -0.09) | 21.34% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.71% ( -0.14) | 54.3% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Charlotte FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |