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Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Bank of America Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Charlotte FC
4 - 0
Philadelphia

Rios (24', 54', 72' pen., 90+1')
Bronico (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wagner (39'), Gazdag (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Philadelphia
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union

Charlotte will be a desperate team heading into this encounter as one more defeat would eliminate them from playoff contention, but the Union have plenty to play for as well, including the fact that a victory would guarantee they finish on top of the Eastern Conference standings. Look for the home side to put a lot of effort into shutting down this dangerous Union attack, but the problem for Charlotte is that there are too many lethal finishers for them to track, while Philly can defend with the very best in MLS. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
30.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 25.23% (0.0019999999999989 0) 43.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.26%
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)29.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.012 0.01)65.1% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)55.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 30.83%
    Philadelphia Union 43.93%
    Draw 25.23%
Charlotte FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.83%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.93%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia

Charlotte FC
12.0%
Draw
12.0%
Philadelphia Union
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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