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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Orlando City

Philadelphia
5 - 1
Orlando City

Mbaizo (39'), Uhre (43'), Gazdag (55' pen.), Bedoya (63'), Elliott (87')
Flach (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Perea (75')
Schlegel (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 4 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 Seattle
Thursday, September 1 at 2.22am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Orlando City

 Although Orlando have won their last five games, we think that their winning run will come to an end when they face a Philadelphia side who are looking to clinch an eighth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
62.68% (-0.522 -0.52) 20.81% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 16.51% (0.54 0.54)
Both teams to score 52.25% (1.278 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (1.097 1.1)43.73% (-1.101 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (1.064 1.06)66.12% (-1.068 -1.07)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.185 0.19)13.35% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.379 0.38)40.23% (-0.383 -0.38)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.31% (1.349 1.35)39.69% (-1.353 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (1.223 1.22)76.36% (-1.229 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 62.67%
    Orlando City 16.51%
    Draw 20.81%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
2-0 @ 10.74% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.143 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.082 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 62.67%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.81%
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.56% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.51%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Orlando City

Philadelphia Union
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Orlando City
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
0-1
Philadelphia

Kara (31'), Moutinho (37'), Araujo (63')
Gazdag (39')
Andres Martinez (8'), Carranza (44')
Sep 19, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-1
Orlando City
Wagner (37'), Przybylko (61', 89' pen.)
Flach (53')
Ruan (57')
Schlegel (33'), Ruan (59'), Michel (75'), Gallese (80'), Jansson (80'), Aguilera (86')
Carlos (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.25am
Orlando City
2-1
Philadelphia
Michel (10'), Perea (59')
Pereyra (45'), Michel (78')
Przybylko (68')
Santos (56')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
P-P
Orlando City
Jul 26, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
P-P
Philadelphia
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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