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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Orlando City

Philadelphia
5 - 1
Orlando City

Mbaizo (39'), Uhre (43'), Gazdag (55' pen.), Bedoya (63'), Elliott (87')
Flach (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Perea (75')
Schlegel (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 4 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Orlando City

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 Seattle
Thursday, September 1 at 2.22am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Orlando City

 Although Orlando have won their last five games, we think that their winning run will come to an end when they face a Philadelphia side who are looking to clinch an eighth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
62.68% (-0.522 -0.52) 20.81% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 16.51% (0.54 0.54)
Both teams to score 52.25% (1.278 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (1.097 1.1)43.73% (-1.101 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (1.064 1.06)66.12% (-1.068 -1.07)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.185 0.19)13.35% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.379 0.38)40.23% (-0.383 -0.38)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.31% (1.349 1.35)39.69% (-1.353 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (1.223 1.22)76.36% (-1.229 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 62.67%
    Orlando City 16.51%
    Draw 20.81%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
2-0 @ 10.74% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.143 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.082 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 62.67%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.81%
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.56% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.51%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Orlando City

Philadelphia Union
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Orlando City
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
0-1
Philadelphia

Kara (31'), Moutinho (37'), Araujo (63')
Gazdag (39')
Andres Martinez (8'), Carranza (44')
Sep 19, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-1
Orlando City
Wagner (37'), Przybylko (61', 89' pen.)
Flach (53')
Ruan (57')
Schlegel (33'), Ruan (59'), Michel (75'), Gallese (80'), Jansson (80'), Aguilera (86')
Carlos (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.25am
Orlando City
2-1
Philadelphia
Michel (10'), Perea (59')
Pereyra (45'), Michel (78')
Przybylko (68')
Santos (56')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
P-P
Orlando City
Jul 26, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
P-P
Philadelphia
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010
> Full Version


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