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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Aug 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
New York City

Orlando City
2 - 1
NY City

Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 1-1 New York City FC

Four of the last five matches between these sides have ended in a draw, and with the Pigeons missing one of their top chance creators (Rodriguez) and Orlando also missing one of their best (Pato), this might not be a fast-paced game with a lot of opportunities for either side, especially given the Florida heat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
34.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 25.67% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 39.72% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (-0.256 -0.26)48.91% (0.25599999999999 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (-0.234 -0.23)71% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (-0.129 -0.13)27.16% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44% (-0.165 -0.16)62.56% (0.165 0.16)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.142 -0.14)24.29% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (-0.202 -0.2)58.67% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 34.61%
    New York City FC 39.72%
    Draw 25.66%
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.72%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY City

Orlando City
34.6%
Draw
23.1%
New York City FC
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Mueller (18')
Carlos (3'), Jansson (37'), Miller (53')
Parks (43')
Ring (5'), Tinnerholm (45+5'), Parks (82')
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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