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Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 12am UK
Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami

NY City
2 - 0
Inter Miami

Moralez (12'), Heber (75')
Morales (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Inter Miami

New York City FC look unstoppable at the moment, but their home form is even more frightening considering the fact that they are unbeaten in the last 12 on home turf. We are backing them to get the job done here in a relatively comfortable manner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 74.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 9.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 3-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
74.12% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 16.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 9.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 45.14% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)41.8% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)64.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)9.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.6% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)32.4% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)49.99% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.35% (-0.016 -0.02)84.65% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 74.11%
    Inter Miami 9.35%
    Draw 16.53%
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
2-0 @ 13.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 74.11%
1-1 @ 7.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 16.53%
0-1 @ 3.37% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-2 @ 2.72%
0-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.35%

How you voted: NY City vs Inter Miami

New York City FC
87.9%
Draw
6.1%
Inter Miami
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Castellanos (21', 45+1' pen.)
Meineche (10'), Parks (66')

Gregore (41'), Leerdam (45+1'), Gibbs (54')
Oct 4, 2020 1am
Inter Miami
2-3
NY City
Morgan (27', 38')
Gonzalez Pirez (25'), Trapp (47'), Pellegrini (72')
Mitrita (4', 43'), Tinnerholm (35')
Ibeagha (75'), Chanot (90+1'), Mackay-Steven (90+2')
Sep 17, 2020 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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