Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 19 | 7 | 32 |
3 | New York City FC | 17 | 15 | 29 |
4 | CF Montreal | 18 | -1 | 29 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | CF Montreal | 18 | 1 | 29 |
4 | New England Revolution | 18 | 1 | 25 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 2 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
60.88% ( -0.03) | 20.79% ( 0.01) | 18.33% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.56% ( -0.04) | 40.44% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.18% ( -0.04) | 62.82% ( 0.04) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( -0.02) | 12.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.79% ( -0.04) | 39.21% ( 0.04) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% ( -0) | 35.59% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.64% ( -0) | 72.36% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 60.88% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.79% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |