Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
53.94% | 22.32% | 23.74% |
Both teams to score 59.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.79% | 40.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.42% | 62.58% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% | 14.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.71% | 43.29% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% | 30.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% | 66.52% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.94% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |