Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
43.03% | 24.73% | 32.24% |
Both teams to score 57.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.66% | 45.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.32% | 67.68% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.87% | 21.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% | 53.98% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% | 26.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.8% | 62.2% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |