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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13
Sep 27, 2020 at 12am UK
Red Bull Arena
FC Cincinnati

NY City
4 - 0
Cincinnati

Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
58.89%22.72%18.39%
Both teams to score 49.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19%48.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09%70.91%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76%16.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.24%45.76%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.54%40.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.93%77.07%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 58.88%
    FC Cincinnati 18.39%
    Draw 22.71%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.95%
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1.09%
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 58.88%
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.95%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.39%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2020 12am
Gameweek 11
NY City
2-1
Cincinnati
Ring (39'), Tinnerholm (55')
Sands (78'), Chanot (84')
Vazquez (74')
Waston (52'), Deplagne (90+5')
Jul 16, 2020 12am
Jun 21, 2020 12.30am
Aug 18, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 31
Cincinnati
1-4
NY City
Cruz (30')
Cruz (26')
Castellanos (32', 71'), Heber (45', 89')
Miller (23')
Jun 7, 2019 12am
rhs 2.0
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