Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | CF Montreal | 15 | 3 | 23 |
4 | New England Revolution | 15 | 0 | 20 |
5 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | -1 | 18 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | -3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Minnesota United |
60.6% ( -0.66) | 21.63% ( 0.3) | 17.77% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.85% ( -0.67) | 45.15% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.5% ( -0.64) | 67.5% ( 0.64) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.56% ( -0.42) | 14.44% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.61% ( -0.83) | 42.39% ( 0.83) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.98% ( 0.05) | 39.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.25% ( 0.04) | 75.75% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Minnesota United |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 17.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |