Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 21 | 18 | 39 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 20 | 7 | 33 |
3 | CF Montreal | 20 | 1 | 32 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 21 | 18 | 39 |
2 | New York City FC | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 20 | 7 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | New York City FC |
42.3% ( 0.56) | 26.88% ( 0.13) | 30.82% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.13% ( -0.71) | 54.87% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.84% ( -0.59) | 76.16% ( 0.59) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0.03) | 25.65% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.46% ( -0.05) | 60.54% ( 0.05) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.38% ( -0.85) | 32.62% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.84% ( -0.97) | 69.16% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.29% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |