Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 55.79%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 24.53% and a draw has a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.61%).
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
55.79% ( -1.69) | 19.68% ( 0.22) | 24.53% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 70.24% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.59% ( 0.64) | 26.42% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.25% ( 0.81) | 46.75% ( -0.81) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.18% ( -0.2) | 9.82% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.39% ( -0.48) | 32.62% ( 0.48) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( 1.39) | 22.12% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.52% ( 2.05) | 55.49% ( -2.05) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.06% Total : 55.79% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.68% | 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.12) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
12 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
13 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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