Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 27 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 5 | 26 |
4 | New England Revolution | 17 | 1 | 24 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Atlanta United | 15 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Toronto | 17 | -8 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
48.85% ( -0.76) | 26.11% ( 0.39) | 25.04% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 48.57% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% ( -1.2) | 54.99% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.73% ( -1) | 76.26% ( 1) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( -0.83) | 22.54% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( -1.26) | 56.13% ( 1.26) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.71% ( -0.34) | 37.29% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.93% ( -0.33) | 74.07% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |