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Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
New York City

Montreal
0 - 0
NY City


Johnston (35'), Waterman (53')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 1-2 Montreal
Sunday, July 24 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-2 New York City FC

If you are going off sheer name recognition and reputation, no Castellanos should make the Montreal backline feel a lot better about themselves, but the fact is that NYCFC have quality players all over the field who can win matches. Defensively speaking, Montreal still have not sorted out their issues, and we expect the quality of the reigning champs will be enough to earn them another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for CF Montreal has a probability of 37.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest CF Montreal win is 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
37.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 24.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 37.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.09% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (0.051000000000002 0.05)45.23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42% (0.046999999999997 0.05)67.57% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.022000000000006 0.02)24.01% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.029000000000003 0.03)58.26% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.031999999999996 0.03)23.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.042999999999999 0.04)57.62% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 37.12%
    New York City FC 37.97%
    Draw 24.9%
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 8.32%
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 37.97%

How you voted: Montreal vs NY City

CF Montreal
30.0%
Draw
0.0%
New York City FC
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Montreal
Tajouri (29')
Chanot (62')

Waterman (42'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (76')
Jul 8, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
2-1
NY City
Toye (43' pen.), Quioto (73')
Brault-Guillard (57')
Parks (29')
Moralez (60'), Ibeagha (70'), Morales (77'), Castellanos (90+5')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Montreal
Medina (68'), Moralez (83'), Rocha (86')
Tinnerholm (68'), Matarrita (89'), (90+1')
Quioto (89')
(90')
Sep 12, 2020 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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