Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Napoli has a probability of 30.21% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Napoli win is 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.34%).
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
45.5% ( 0.58) | 24.29% ( -0.2) | 30.21% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 58.2% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.79% ( 0.7) | 44.2% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.42% ( 0.67) | 66.58% ( -0.67) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% ( 0.53) | 19.57% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.5% ( 0.86) | 51.5% ( -0.87) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% ( 0.09) | 27.64% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% ( 0.11) | 63.18% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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