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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 at 12.30am UK
RFK Stadium
Philadelphia Union

DC United
0 - 6
Philadelphia

FT(HT: 0-2)
Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

Last Six:
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 DC United
Wednesday, August 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-3 Philadelphia Union

 Philadelphia Union have suffered a slump in recent weeks, losing two of their last three games since the start of August. However, next up is an opposing side who have managed just one win in their last 10 games. We predict a one-sided contest with Philadelphia coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
33.27% (-0.413 -0.41) 25.83% (0.241 0.24) 40.9% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.914 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (-1.132 -1.13)49.88% (1.136 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-1.018 -1.02)71.87% (1.022 1.02)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (-0.81 -0.81)28.45% (0.813 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (-1.031 -1.03)64.22% (1.034 1.03)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.41300000000001 -0.41)24.12% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (-0.591 -0.59)58.43% (0.594 0.59)
Score Analysis
    DC United 33.27%
    Philadelphia Union 40.9%
    Draw 25.83%
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.201 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.27%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.311 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.328 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.9%

How you voted: DC United vs Philadelphia

DC United
27.3%
Draw
0.0%
Philadelphia Union
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
7-0
DC United
Bedoya (9', 37'), Carranza (22', 25', 72'), Uhre (45+2', 59')

Birnbaum (36'), Odoi-Atsem (69')
Aug 29, 2021 1am
DC United
3-1
Philadelphia
Kamara (36' pen.), Reyna (49'), Abila (90+5')
Najar (55')
Birnbaum (22' og.)
Elliott (59')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
DC United
Santos (11'), Przybylko (83')
Andres Martinez (22')
Rodrigo Asad (51' pen.)
Rodrigo Asad (27'), Alfaro (45+1'), Reyna (45+1')
May 24, 2021 12.15am
DC United
0-1
Philadelphia
Przybylko (45+1')
Andres Martinez (65'), Blake (90+5')
Oct 15, 2020 1am
DC United
2-2
Philadelphia
Pines (71'), Rodrigo Asad (75' pen.)
Canouse (60')
Fontana (49'), McKenzie (87')
Santos (42'), Fontana (54'), Bedoya (74'), Mbaizo (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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