Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw has a probability of 21% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (4.99%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
62.16% ( -0.22) | 21.01% ( 0.14) | 16.83% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.94% ( -0.43) | 44.05% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.56% ( -0.42) | 66.43% ( 0.42) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.39% ( -0.2) | 13.61% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.25% ( -0.4) | 40.75% ( 0.41) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.51% ( -0.15) | 39.49% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.82% ( -0.14) | 76.18% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 62.15% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.01% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |