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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Atletico


Aidoo (4'), Veiga (8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Depay (89')
Mandava (41'), Simeone (72'), Molina (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 3-4 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico are difficult to back with any real confidence at the moment, with the Red and Whites finding it difficult to show their best form. We are not expecting Simeone's side to lose, but Celta are not being beaten at the moment, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in Vigo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.3% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 26.2% (0.17 0.17) 50.5% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-0.569 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-0.693 -0.69)56.65% (0.693 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.561 -0.56)77.62% (0.56099999999999 0.56)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18% (-0.48 -0.48)39.81% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.52% (-0.444 -0.44)76.48% (0.44399999999999 0.44)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.325 -0.33)22.51% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.487 -0.49)56.08% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 23.3%
    Atletico Madrid 50.5%
    Draw 26.19%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 13.36% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 9.96% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.5%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Atletico

Celta Vigo
20.2%
Draw
22.8%
Atletico Madrid
57.0%
114
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Hermoso (16')
Veiga (71')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Celta Vigo
Suarez (45', 50')
Felipe (23'), Gimenez (67')
Mina (13'), Ferreyra (89')
Tapia (5'), Suarez (78')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Celta Vigo
0-2
Atletico

Beltran (41'), Nolito (63'), Aspas (83')
Suarez (6'), Carrasco (90+5')
Hermoso (17'), Costa (37'), Felipe (71'), Herrera (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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