Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 28.2% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.18%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.88%).
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
28.2% ( 2.02) | 21.36% ( 0.41) | 50.44% ( -2.43) |
Both teams to score 67.48% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.59% ( -0.32) | 31.41% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.12% ( -0.38) | 52.88% ( 0.38) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( 1.12) | 22.47% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% ( 1.64) | 56.02% ( -1.64) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.04% ( -0.83) | 12.96% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.57% ( -1.72) | 39.43% ( 1.73) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.2% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.25) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.15) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
12 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
13 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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