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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
DC United

Atlanta
2 - 3
DC United

Almada (16' pen.), Peltola (48' og.)
Slisz (30'), Almada (45+2'), Giakoumakis (70'), Abram (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Benteke (19', 44', 55')
Dajome (38'), Antley (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 DC United

 Both teams are quite evenly matched heading into this weekend and that should lead to a competitive and closely contested match. With little between them in the league and with their recent form, it would not be a surprise to see them share the points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
65.12% (5.832 5.83) 19.27% (-1.931 -1.93) 15.61% (-3.895 -3.9)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65% (2.126 2.13)38.35% (-2.12 -2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37% (2.222 2.22)60.63% (-2.216 -2.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (2.274 2.27)11.05% (-2.269 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6% (4.784 4.78)35.4% (-4.778 -4.78)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-3.143 -3.14)37.51% (3.149 3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-3.22 -3.22)74.3% (3.224 3.22)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 65.12%
    DC United 15.61%
    Draw 19.27%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.749 0.75)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.38% (1.133 1.13)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.564 0.56)
4-0 @ 4.07% (0.917 0.92)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.622 0.62)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.158 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.521 0.52)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.4 0.4)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 65.12%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.903 -0.9)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.432 -0.43)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.875 -0.88)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.825 -0.82)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.619 -0.62)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.439 -0.44)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.61%

How you voted: Atlanta vs DC United

Atlanta United
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
DC United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-1
Atlanta
Pirani (80')
Benteke (85'), Rodrigo Asad (88')
Lobzhanidze (14')
Fortune (61'), Mosquera (77'), Silva (89')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
3-1
DC United
Giakoumakis (13'), Gutman (49'), Wolff (73')
Fortune (41'), Pineda (42'), Giakoumakis (83')
Fountas (27')
Pines (51'), Birnbaum (69'), Klich (89')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 9pm
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Franco (49'), Martinez (62'), Sanchez (70')
Sanchez (18')
Morrison (47'), Kamara (55')
Rooney (45+3')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-1
Atlanta
Canouse (34'), Djeffal (38')
Campbell (33'), Conway (81'), Almada (89')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Barco (18'), Martinez (64'), Bello (87')
Franco (65'), Araujo (81')
Felipe (75'), Flores (90+4')
Brillant (27'), Moreno (34'), Paredes (50'), Alfaro (77')
> Preview
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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