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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Aug 28, 2022 at 9pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
DC United

Atlanta
3 - 2
DC United

Franco (49'), Martinez (62'), Sanchez (70')
Sanchez (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morrison (47'), Kamara (55')
Rooney (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, August 21 at 11.48pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-6 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 DC United

Expect this to be a much more respectable scoreline for the visitors but simply put, DC are a team low on confidence and struggling to find any positives at the moment, which should work nicely in Atlanta's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
63.3% (-0.154 -0.15) 19.88% (0.15 0.15) 16.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11% (-0.716 -0.72)38.88% (0.713 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8% (-0.756 -0.76)61.19% (0.754 0.75)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (-0.25399999999999 -0.25)11.69% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.21% (-0.545 -0.55)36.79% (0.543 0.54)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.63% (-0.436 -0.44)36.37% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84% (-0.442 -0.44)73.15% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 63.3%
    DC United 16.82%
    Draw 19.88%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.133 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.01% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 63.3%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.141 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.18% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 16.82%

How you voted: Atlanta vs DC United

Atlanta United
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-1
Atlanta

Canouse (34'), Djeffal (38')
Moreno (90+4')
Campbell (33'), Conway (81'), Almada (89')
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Barco (18'), Martinez (64'), Bello (87')
Franco (65'), Araujo (81')
Felipe (75'), Flores (90+4')
Brillant (27'), Moreno (34'), Paredes (50'), Alfaro (77')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
DC United
1-2
Atlanta
Reyna (54')
Alfaro (50'), Canouse (58'), Moreno (73'), Gressel (75')
Martinez (25'), Moreno (82')
Bello (29'), (75')
Oct 24, 2020 9pm
Atlanta
1-2
DC United
Gallagher (89')
Barco (39'), Meza (90+1')
Canouse (77'), Rivas (90+2')
Rodrigo Asad (30'), Moreno (86')
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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