Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 37.38% and a draw has a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.02%).
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
37.38% | 23.01% | 39.62% |
Both teams to score 65.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.12% | 35.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.03% | 57.97% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.31% | 19.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.31% | 51.69% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% | 18.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.99% | 50.01% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.29% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.84% 0-0 @ 3.68% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.4% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.64% Total : 39.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |