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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Vitesse has a probability of 32.98% and a draw has a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.68%) and 0-2 (4.88%). The likeliest Vitesse win is 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.2%).
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
32.98% ( 2.42) | 21.19% ( -0.15) | 45.83% ( -2.27) |
Both teams to score 71.28% ( 1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.3% ( 2) | 27.69% ( -2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.63% ( 2.46) | 48.36% ( -2.46) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.96% ( 2.2) | 18.03% ( -2.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.08% ( 3.65) | 48.92% ( -3.66) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.96% ( 0.03) | 13.03% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.41% ( 0.06) | 39.59% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.26) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.75% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.6) 2-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.59) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.4) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.2) 3-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.13) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 45.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |