MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 22:56:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
Ajax

Vitesse
1 - 2
Ajax

FT(HT: 1-1)
Klaassen (32'), Alvarez (54')
Alvarez (52'), Wijndal (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Vitesse 1-3 Ajax

Having been dumped out of Europe quite early, Ajax know that anything less than a league title would represent a disastrous season for them. We are backing them to get the job done here and keep the pressure up on Feyenoord in the race for glory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
VitesseDrawAjax
18.59% (-0.073 -0.07) 20.51% (0.081 0.08) 60.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.29% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)38.7% (0.518 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.99% (-0.548 -0.55)61.01% (0.551 0.55)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (-0.387 -0.39)34.28% (0.39 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (-0.418 -0.42)70.98% (0.42099999999999 0.42)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)12.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.92% (-0.338 -0.34)38.08% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 18.59%
    Ajax 60.9%
    Draw 20.51%
VitesseDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 18.59%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.26% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 6.92% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.47% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.94% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 60.9%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Ajax

Vitesse
11.8%
Draw
7.8%
Ajax
80.4%
51
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-2
Vitesse
Tadic (6'), Lucca (79')
Manhoef (25', 74')
Reiziger (84')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Vitesse
2-2
Ajax
Openda (52', 56')
Brobbey (15'), Alvarez (87')
Alvarez (24'), Brobbey (73'), Blind (73'), Klaassen (76')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (17', 61'), Haller (30', 46'), Tadic (51')

Wittek (52')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (5'), Alvarez (31'), Gravenberch (43'), Hajek (60' og.), Klaassen (67')

Bazoer (41'), Oroz (85')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Vitesse
1-3
Ajax
Openda (44')
Hajek (23')
Haller (12'), Antony (43'), Martinez (75')
Antony (25'), Neres (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!