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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.42%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
71.42% | 16.03% | 12.54% |
Both teams to score 59.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.44% | 29.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.34% | 50.66% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.69% | 7.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.58% | 26.42% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.11% | 35.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.33% | 72.67% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 8.03% 3-0 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 6.86% 4-1 @ 5.25% 4-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 2.69% 5-0 @ 2.68% 5-2 @ 1.41% 6-1 @ 1.2% 6-0 @ 1.17% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.23% Total : 71.42% | 1-1 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.71% 0-0 @ 2.62% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.26% Total : 16.03% | 1-2 @ 3.6% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-2 @ 1.38% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.04% Total : 12.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |