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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
27.86% | 24.66% | 47.48% |
Both teams to score 55.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.82% | 47.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.58% | 69.42% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.19% | 30.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% | 67.08% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% | 19.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% | 52.09% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 7.23% 2-1 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 5.05% 0-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |