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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
35.98% ( 0.09) | 26.3% ( 0.1) | 37.72% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.5% ( -0.44) | 51.5% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.7% ( -0.39) | 73.3% ( 0.39) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% ( -0.16) | 27.57% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.91% ( -0.2) | 63.09% ( 0.2) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.43% ( -0.32) | 26.57% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.22% ( -0.42) | 61.78% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.98% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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