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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 3-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
75.43% ( -0.92) | 14.48% ( 0.5) | 10.09% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 56.72% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.15% ( -1.33) | 28.85% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.21% ( -1.65) | 49.79% ( 1.64) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.61% ( -0.45) | 6.39% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.04% ( -1.26) | 23.96% ( 1.25) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.59% ( -0.24) | 39.41% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.89% ( -0.22) | 76.1% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 8.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.12) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.52% Total : 75.43% | 1-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 14.48% | 1-2 @ 3% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.44% Total : 10.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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