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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-3 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
13.46% ( 0.06) | 17.02% ( 0.2) | 69.53% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.77% ( -0.87) | 32.23% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.17% ( -1.02) | 53.83% ( 1.02) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( -0.5) | 36.42% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( -0.51) | 73.21% ( 0.52) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.64% ( -0.27) | 8.36% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.9% ( -0.69) | 29.1% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.46% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.02% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 7.84% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 4.86% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 2.41% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 1-6 @ 1% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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