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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
47.56% ( -0.8) | 24.87% ( 0.2) | 27.57% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 54.48% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.71% ( -0.45) | 48.29% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.56% ( -0.41) | 70.43% ( 0.4) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% ( -0.52) | 20.35% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.25% ( -0.82) | 52.74% ( 0.82) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% ( 0.22) | 31.6% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( 0.26) | 68.01% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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