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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | FC Volendam | 5 | -12 | 4 |
15 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 3 | 7 |
8 | SBV Excelsior | 4 | -5 | 6 |
9 | NEC | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
44.16% ( 0.16) | 23.72% ( -0.3) | 32.12% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 61.21% ( 1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.32% ( 1.47) | 40.67% ( -1.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.94% ( 1.49) | 63.05% ( -1.49) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.28% ( 0.66) | 18.71% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.92% ( 1.1) | 50.07% ( -1.1) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0.8) | 24.7% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% ( 1.1) | 59.23% ( -1.1) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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