MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 15:25:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
5 - 2
SBV Excelsior

Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Gaari (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
Eijgenraam (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Waalwijk have made a poor start to the new season and will need to get up and running sooner rather than later. We fancy them to take advantage of Excelsior's defensive porosity and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
44.16% (0.156 0.16) 23.72% (-0.3 -0.3) 32.12% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 61.21% (1.142 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (1.47 1.47)40.67% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (1.492 1.49)63.05% (-1.491 -1.49)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.663 0.66)18.71% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (1.099 1.1)50.07% (-1.098 -1.1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.798 0.8)24.7% (-0.797 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (1.104 1.1)59.23% (-1.103 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 44.16%
    SBV Excelsior 32.12%
    Draw 23.72%
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.361 -0.36)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.147 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.12%

Head to Head
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!