MX23RW : Friday, May 10 03:05:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
May 15, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Waalwijk logo

AZ
1 - 3
RKC Waalwijk

de Wit (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-3 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 RKC Waalwijk

This is expected to be a close affair between two sides in similar form, but having the home advantage on the final day of the season may just be enough to see the three points remain in Alkmaar. The hosts have netted twice in each of their last two outings, and so they are likely to do so again, while they do not tend to keep clean sheets which is why there will be an opportunity for Waalwijk to get on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
70.33% (2.09 2.09) 18.31% (-0.764 -0.76) 11.35% (-1.328 -1.33)
Both teams to score 46.51% (-1.688 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94% (0.012 0.01)44.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (0.014000000000003 0.01)66.44% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7% (0.565 0.56)11.3% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.06% (1.223 1.22)35.94% (-1.226 -1.23)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.44% (-2.252 -2.25)47.55% (2.248 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09% (-1.73 -1.73)82.9% (1.725 1.72)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 70.32%
    RKC Waalwijk 11.35%
    Draw 18.31%
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.56 0.56)
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 9.28% (0.606 0.61)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.06% (0.437 0.44)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.156 -0.16)
5-0 @ 2.21% (0.235 0.24)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 70.32%
1-1 @ 8.71% (-0.365 -0.37)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 18.31%
0-1 @ 4% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-2 @ 3.24% (-0.355 -0.36)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 11.35%

How you voted: AZ vs RKC Waalwijk

AZ Alkmaar
70.0%
Draw
5.0%
RKC Waalwijk
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
RKC Waalwijk
0-4
AZ

Nieuwpoort (60')
De Wit (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Karlsson (33' pen.), Aboukhlal (71')
Reijnders (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3.30pm
May 1, 2021 7pm
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AZ
Oosting (17')
Sow (69')
Gudmundsson (28'), Boadu (63'), Stengs (82')
Letschert (69'), Sugawara (90+3')
Nov 1, 2020 7pm
AZ
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Stengs (5'), Gudmundsson (72', 90+1')
Hatzidiakos (34')

Ngonge (56'), Azhil (83')
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
AZ
4-0
RKC Waalwijk
Idrissi (29', 51'), Boadu (36'), Stengs (65')

Mulder (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!