MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 15:04:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | 2nd Leg
May 29, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Vitesse

AZ
6 - 1
Vitesse

Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), de Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Vitesse

The onus is firmly on AZ to take control of proceedings as they seek to overhaul a first-leg deficit, and while we expect an open and end-to-end affair, we are also backing the hosts to carry the day and book their place in the Conference League playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
58.26% (1.375 1.38) 22.17% (-0.401 -0.4) 19.57% (-0.965 -0.97)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.433 0.43)44.77% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.415 0.41)67.13% (-0.408 -0.41)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (0.60600000000001 0.61)15.07% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (1.128 1.13)43.58% (-1.12 -1.12)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.751 -0.75)36.8% (0.75700000000001 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (-0.757 -0.76)73.59% (0.76400000000001 0.76)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 58.25%
    Vitesse 19.57%
    Draw 22.17%
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.27% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.26% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.187 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.092 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.25%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.17%
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 19.57%

How you voted: AZ vs Vitesse

AZ Alkmaar
80.4%
Draw
7.8%
Vitesse
11.8%
51
Head to Head
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
Mar 7, 2021 3.45pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Openda (31'), Rasmussen (72')
Bero (12'), Tannane (12'), Dasa (90+3')
Cornelisse (79')
Karlsson (81')
De Wit (19')
Dec 23, 2020 3.30pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Karlsson (5'), Boadu (40'), Druijf (75')
Openda (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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