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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Fortuna Sittard

Sparta
3 - 1
Sittard

Verschueren (26', 83'), van Crooij (54' pen.)
Vriends (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Noslin (19')
Navarro (53'), Yilmaz (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 3-1 Sparta
Sunday, October 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Fortuna Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam have turned a corner on their own patch in recent weeks, winning the last four by a combined score of 11-2. We are tipping the hosts to get the job done once again, albeit by a narrow margin this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
59.89% (-0.32 -0.32) 21.95% (0.108 0.11) 18.15% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (-0.126 -0.13)45.93% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.12 -0.12)68.24% (0.119 0.12)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (-0.143 -0.14)14.92% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68% (-0.274 -0.27)43.31% (0.273 0.27)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (0.17100000000001 0.17)39.04% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.16 0.16)75.76% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 59.89%
    Fortuna Sittard 18.15%
    Draw 21.95%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.89%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.95%
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.15%

How you voted: Sparta vs Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 5.45pm
Sittard
3-0
Sparta
Seuntjens (10'), Gladon (35', 77')
Seuntjens (27')

Okoye (11'), de Kamps (33'), van Crooij (83')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Smeets (21'), Thy (29'), Emegha (73')
Beugelsdijk (42'), Pinto (44')
Seuntjens (49')
Flemming (63')
Feb 13, 2021 1.15pm
Sparta
1-2
Sittard
Semedo (23'), Polter (50')
Flemming (88'), Semedo (90+1')
Jan 13, 2021 7pm
Sittard
0-1
Sparta

Flemming (25'), Seuntjens (83'), Janssen (90+3')
Thy (57')
Jan 25, 2020 7.45pm
Sparta
1-1
Sittard
Mattheij (73')
Piroe (63')
Damascan (20')
Dammers (33'), Smeets (54'), Sambou (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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