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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.57%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.01%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
80.57% | 13.2% | 6.23% |
Both teams to score 41.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.35% | 37.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.11% | 59.89% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.72% | 7.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.64% | 26.36% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.96% | 55.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.09% | 87.91% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 13.75% 3-0 @ 12.01% 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.22% 4-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 7.18% 4-1 @ 4.7% 5-0 @ 4.13% 5-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.14% 6-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.4% 6-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.32% Total : 80.55% | 1-1 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.01% 2-2 @ 2.45% Other @ 0.47% Total : 13.2% | 0-1 @ 2.39% 1-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 1.97% Total : 6.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |