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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chicago Fire

Atlanta
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Giakoumakis (45'), Thiare (64', 90+5')
Wiley (50'), Lennon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herbers (66')
Teran (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 3-0 Chicago Fire

 With Atlanta likely to be at full strength in the attack, we expect them to tear through a Fire backline that have been rather leaky, and a striker with the quality of Giakoumakis rarely misses the chances presented to him. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
58.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 21.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 57.63% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (0.083000000000006 0.08)40.28% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (0.083000000000006 0.08)62.65% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)13.65% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06)40.83% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (0.051000000000002 0.05)33.25% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)69.87% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.01%
    Chicago Fire 20.52%
    Draw 21.47%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Chicago Fire
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Atlanta
Sanchez (42' og.), Haile-Selassie (49'), Koutsias (89')
Navarro (3'), Herbers (45+2'), Gutierrez (58'), Czichos (87')
Navarro (26')
Gutman (29'), Giakoumakis (55', 65')
Ibarra (41'), Araujo (69'), Diop (90')
Araujo (71')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 9.30pm
Atlanta
2-1
Chicago Fire
Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)
Przybylko (90')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 10pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Atlanta
Duran (41'), Shaqiri (63')
Sosa (81'), Dwyer (90+5')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
4-1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')
Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97
> Full Version


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