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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Uhre (55'), Gazdag (90+3')
Andres Martinez (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gutierrez (39'), Herbers (82')
Pineda (45'), Brady (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Deportivo Saprissa 2-3 Philadelphia
Wednesday, February 21 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Chicago Fire

There are too many unknowns in Chicago right now, so we are going with the Union, who have been among the most consistent MLS sides in the regular season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
47.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 28.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 55.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.31% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)69.54% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.42% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)30.65% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.9% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 47.11%
    Chicago Fire 28.16%
    Draw 24.72%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.16%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Chicago Fire
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 20
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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