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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
FC Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Shaqiri (45' pen.)
Acosta (55'), Pineda (66'), Gutierrez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boupendza (39'), Robinson (68')
Nwobodo (43'), Bucha (81'), Baird (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-0 Cavalier
Thursday, February 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Chicago Fire 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Both sides have certainly shown they have goals in them, and we expect a highly-entertaining clash here. That said, we can see the teams cancelling each other out over the 90 minutes and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
36.4% (-0.394 -0.39) 24.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 39.23% (0.357 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.02% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.29% (-0.228 -0.23)42.72% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.229 -0.23)65.12% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.313 -0.31)23.25% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.459 -0.46)57.16% (0.462 0.46)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.075999999999993 0.08)21.8% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (0.113 0.11)55.01% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.4%
    FC Cincinnati 39.23%
    Draw 24.37%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 36.4%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.23%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Cincinnati
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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