Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
56.44% ( -1.42) | 23.18% ( 0.4) | 20.39% ( 1.03) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.04% ( -0.3) | 47.96% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.87% ( -0.27) | 70.14% ( 0.27) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% ( -0.6) | 16.79% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.25% ( -1.08) | 46.75% ( 1.08) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.22% ( 0.92) | 37.78% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.44% ( 0.88) | 74.56% ( -0.88) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.43% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |