Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 34.68% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.94%).
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
38.01% ( -2.47) | 27.32% ( 0.17) | 34.68% ( 2.3) |
Both teams to score 49.82% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.3% ( -0.27) | 55.7% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.16% ( -0.22) | 76.84% ( 0.22) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.61% ( -1.52) | 28.39% ( 1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.86% ( -1.95) | 64.14% ( 1.96) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( 1.39) | 30.43% ( -1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( 1.62) | 66.63% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.53) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.83% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |